(ARPU x Margin) / Churn

(ARPU x Margin) / Churn

How to Calculate LTV

How to Calculate LTV

LTV measures the total revenue a customer generates. It dictates how much you can spend to acquire them.

LTV measures the total revenue a customer generates. It dictates how much you can spend to acquire them.

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What is

LTV

?

Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) represents the total net profit a business can expect to earn from a single customer throughout their entire relationship. Unlike transaction-based metrics, LTV shifts the focus from short-term wins to long-term sustainability. It is calculated by multiplying the average purchase value by the purchase frequency and then multiplying that by the average customer lifespan. In subscription models, it is often simplified to ARPU divided by Churn. For growth teams, LTV is the 'North Star' that determines how much can be spent on acquisition (CAC) while remaining profitable. A healthy LTV indicates deep product-market fit and effective retention strategies. If LTV is stagnating, it suggests that customers either don't find enough recurring value or that the pricing model is not aligned with the value delivered. Mastering LTV allows businesses to forecast future cash flows and justify aggressive expansion spend to investors.

Benchmarks

LTV benchmarks are always measured relative to CAC. A 3:1 LTV:CAC ratio is the widely accepted minimum for SaaS health. Top-quartile companies run 5:1 or higher.

Tier

Benchmark

What It Means

World-class

> 5× CAC

Every dollar of acquisition spend returns 5× or more over the customer lifetime.

Strong

3–5× CAC

The widely cited target. A 3:1 LTV:CAC ratio signals a sustainable growth model.

Average

1–3× CAC

Profitable but thin margin for error on churn or acquisition cost increases.

Poor

< 1× CAC

You spend more acquiring a customer than they ever return. Not sustainable.

Frequently asked questions.

How does Gross Margin impact LTV?

Higher margins directly increase LTV by ensuring more revenue is retained after accounting for the cost of service.

Why is LTV/CAC the golden ratio for SaaS?

It measures the return on marketing spend; a 3:1 ratio typically signals a sustainable, scalable business model.

What is the role of Churn in LTV calculation?

Churn is the denominator; as churn decreases, LTV increases exponentially, highlighting the value of retention.

Should I calculate LTV by customer cohort?

Yes, cohort analysis reveals if newer customers are more valuable than older ones due to product or pricing improvements.

Does LTV include expansion revenue?

Professional LTV models include expansion and upsell revenue to reflect the true lifetime growth potential of a customer.

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